Sabeen
Mahmud, described as a peace activist and
founder of The Second Floor (T2F), was shot dead on Friday after hosting a talk on Balochistan.
Her guests included the now infamous Mama Qadeer, who was also the most
prominent invitee at an earlier talk in LUMS. That talk was cancelled after
intervention by the state, or the ISI.
The subject she highlighted right before her death, and the manner of it, suggests unusual bravery. It also puts an onus on the rest of us to discuss it more. Obviously Balochistan is too complex an issue to encompass in its entirety, especially for outsiders. We can though look at the information publicly available about the missing persons, as well as the insurgency, to at least draw some basic conclusions.
Mama Qadeer’s story is well known by
now. His son, Jalil
Reiki, was “disappeared” by state agencies and found dead 3 years later. One
has to note that, appallingly, Mama Qadeer’s story is not unique. People in
Balochistan - activists and those suspected of working with/being separatists -
have been subjected to extra-judicial killings and disappearances for the
better part of the last decade.
The number
of such cases however is a contested issue, with a huge gulf between the claims
by Baloch activists, HR bodies and the statistics of the govt. Mama Qadeer’s
VBMP has always claimed the highest toll, which, according to the organisation,
has climbed dramatically in the last 5 years.
Baloch Activists:
In 2011 it
was claimed by the organization that 8000 people had gone missing in
Balochistan and 200
dead bodies had been found. However, they had complete data about 1,300. (In 2013, a US State Dept. Report
noted that the VBMP had listed information on 2,627 missing persons.)
By 2012
VBMP’s claim of missing people had gone up to 14,385 and 400 dead bodies, an increase of more than 6,000 in
one year. By the time of Mama Qadeer’s long march, VBMP had revised their
figures to 18,000 and last month, April 2015,
they increased it further to 21,000 missing, & another 6,000 dead.
It is not
clear what is the number they have actual data on at this moment. The
International Voice for Baloch Missing Persons, an apparently separate
organization working for the same cause, has provided names and general areas
of residence for the people who have gone missing from Balochistan on its
website. Their database has names of around 600 missing people.
The Baloch Republican Party lists around
70 missing persons. Jalil Reiki, Mama Qadeer's son, belonged to the BRP. The oldest victim listed is from 2009, so the data is probably partial.
State's Figures:
In terms of
official bodies, the Commission of Inquiry on Enforced Disappearances (CIED)
informed the Supreme Court that 982 missing persons had been traced in the last
4 years. According to CIED’s report 1,273 cases of enforced disappearances are still unresolved, with only 122 of them belonging to Balochistan.
The
Balochistan Assembly was informed recently that 135 cases of missing persons are
in court, while 80
had already been traced.
HR Bodies:
Defence of Human Rights, an NGO that traces missing people and has relatives of missing people included in its ranks, puts the number at 5,149. However their figure is of missing persons in the whole country, not just Balochistan.
HRCP have
been vocal about the issue of Baloch missing persons, and HRCP’s IA Rehman was among the invitees of the
cancelled LUMS talk. Two activists associated with HRCP are also among the
extra-judicially killed in Balochistan.
The HRCP in
its 2012 fact finding mission titled “Hopes Fears and Alienation in
Balochistan”
confirmed 198 cases of missing people in Balochistan. These include those
released and those still missing, and there is some overlap with those whose
dead bodies had already turned up. A full list with each victim’s name &
status is provided at the end.
The word
“overlap” is used because sometimes the bodies that turn up are not accounted
for in the missing persons. For example, the report gives a breakdown of the
disappearances in the Makran area. 148 cases of disappearances had come to the
attention of HRCP since 2004, 103 of them had been released. However, 60 dead
bodies had also turned up.
Perhaps
these can be accounted for if we include the work of alleged “death squads”. In
addition to the disappearances phenomenon, activists blame state agencies for
raising and/or empowering “death squads”. Comprised of religious outfit cadres or
pro-establishment Baloch Sardars, in some cases the two working in tandem,
these are armed elements that seek out & kill dissident or separatist
elements.
..................................................
Coming back
to the actual number of missing persons in Balochistan, it can be observed that
government figures, plus those of rights bodies, IVBMP and the inquiry
commission all hover well below the 1,000 mark. The number claimed by VBMP,
i.e. 21000, is not backed by most other resources available on the matter, not
even by the documentation they apparently possess.
Similarly,
the VBMP claim of 6000 dead is a significant climb from their earlier figures. It also offers significant contrast when put beside other sources. For example, Balochistan assembly was informed that in the last 5 years 612 dead bodies had been found in the
province, 373 of them Baloch.
The IVBMP’s
database on extra-judicial killings of the Baloch consists of around 210 names. Baloch Republican Party has names of
around 100.
According to
data compiled by SATP, 153 dumbed bodies were recovered from
Balochistan in 2014. This was much higher than the average because of discovery of 3 mass
graves. The 2013 number for bodies found is 39.
It is not
unlikely that a relatives of many missing people do not come forward, or those
who have been released after being held & tortured don’t speak out, for
fear of renewing their ordeal. It is though unlikely that such cases can
account for a difference of around 20,000 missing persons, and 5000 dead.
P.S: There
are undeniably thousands of displaced Baloch, largely from Dera
Bugti. They fled
fighting when the army & Akbar Bugti faced off, or have been expelled because
the security forces believe them to be loyal to the late Nawab &
responsible for sabotaging activities.
Part-2 to follow.
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